UFC VEGAS 91

Fight Card


Matheus Nicolau vs Alex Perez

Prediction: Matheus Nicolau via Decision

Matheus Nicolau has established himself as a skilled striker with a strong understanding of timing and distance. His left hand is his primary weapon, which he uses with exceptional precision and timing to catch opponents off-guard. Nicolau's ability to anticipate his opponent's movements and capitalize on their mistakes makes him a formidable challenge in the stand-up game. This refined approach allows him to land significant strikes without taking excessive risks, which is crucial against an aggressive fighter like Perez.

In addition to his left hand, Nicolau's countering game is a key aspect of his fighting style. He often lures opponents into his range, creating opportunities to counter with sharp, accurate strikes. This skill is especially effective against fighters who rely heavily on pressure and forward movement, like Perez. By pulling opponents into his counters, Nicolau can control the pace of the fight and dictate where the exchanges occur, giving him a strategic advantage.

Alex Perez is known for his aggressive striking and relentless pace. He likes to pressure his opponents and close the distance quickly, often leading to intense exchanges. However, this style can leave openings for counterstrikes, which is where Nicolau's strengths come into play. If Perez rushes in without proper defensive measures, Nicolau's precise left hand and countering ability could capitalize on those openings, potentially leading to a knockout or significant damage.

Moreover, Nicolau's well-rounded skill set, including his grappling and ground control, provides additional tools to manage Perez's aggression. While Perez is a capable grappler, Nicolau's ability to transition between striking and grappling adds another layer of complexity to his game. This versatility allows Nicolau to adapt to different scenarios and maintain control, further enhancing his chances of winning.


Ryan Spann vs Bogdan Guskov

Prediction: Toss Up (Best Bet: Under 1.5)

Ryan Spann vs. Bogdan Guskov is a matchup that promises high-intensity action, with both fighters known for their knockout power and aggressive fighting styles. Given their penchant for quick finishes and somewhat neglected defense, this fight could end in an explosive fashion, making the Under 1.5 rounds a favorable betting option.

Ryan Spann has established himself as a powerful striker with an impressive finishing rate. Out of his professional MMA victories, a significant number have come by knockout or technical knockout. Spann's striking is characterized by his raw power and ability to land heavy shots with precision. He doesn't waste time getting to work, often pressing forward to engage his opponents early and capitalize on openings. However, his aggressive style sometimes leaves him vulnerable to counterattacks, as his defensive approach is less refined compared to some of his peers.

Similarly, Bogdan Guskov brings considerable knockout power to the table. Known for his aggressive stand-up game, Guskov doesn't shy away from trading heavy punches with his opponents. He has demonstrated a high finishing rate, typically ending fights in the early rounds. Guskov's approach is straightforward, relying on his power to overwhelm opponents. However, like Spann, he tends to neglect defense, which can lead to openings for his opponents to land significant strikes.

Given the striking power and aggressive styles of both fighters, this matchup has the potential for a quick and explosive finish. Both Spann and Guskov are not known for protracted battles or extended feeling-out periods; they tend to engage early and look for the knockout. This approach, coupled with their defensive vulnerabilities, increases the likelihood that someone will go down within the first round and a half.


Karine Silva vs Ariane Lipski

Prediction: Karine Silva via Submission

Known for her high-level grappling and adept submission techniques, Silva has proven time and again that she can dominate opponents on the ground. However, her striking, often underrated, is equally worthy of attention.

Silva's striking game, while not heavily reliant on complex combinations, is characterized by its consistency and excellent timing. These attributes allow her to keep pace with her opponents in stand-up exchanges and often outstrike those with seemingly more polished striking arsenals. Her approach is straightforward but effective, focusing on landing clean, significant shots rather than overwhelming her opponents with volume.

A key weapon in Silva's striking toolkit is her step-in straight right hand, which she delivers with stunning power. This punch is not just about brute force; Silva's technique involves punching through her targets, maximizing the impact and often catching her opponents off-guard. This single strike has the potential to change the course of the fight, making it a constant threat that Lipski will have to navigate carefully.

On the ground, Silva’s capabilities become even more apparent. Her grappling skills are top-tier, and her ability to transition smoothly from striking to grappling allows her to exploit any opening her opponent presents. Once on the mat, her submission game comes into play, where she has demonstrated a keen acumen for securing finishes, making her a formidable opponent in any grappling exchange.

Considering these factors, Karine Silva appears to have a distinct advantage going into the bout with Ariane Lipski. Silva’s powerful striking, coupled with her elite grappling and submission prowess, makes her a dual threat in the octagon. While Lipski is undoubtedly a tough and skilled fighter, Silva’s ability to dominate both on the feet and on the ground makes her the likely victor in this encounter. Her combination of precise striking and superior grappling should see her emerge triumphant, possibly by way of a crafty submission.


Jhonata Diniz vs Austen Lane

Prediction: Austen Lane via TKO

Austen Lane has a notable background in both football and mixed martial arts, having transitioned from an NFL career to professional fighting. His MMA journey has been defined by his athleticism, power, and versatility. Lane has a well-rounded skill set, with a strong striking game complemented by effective grappling and ground control. His ability to adapt to different styles and his experience in high-pressure environments give him a significant edge over Diniz.

In contrast, Jhonata Diniz has a background in kickboxing, with a heavy emphasis on striking. Although he has demonstrated power and technical proficiency in his stand-up game, his MMA experience is relatively limited compared to Lane's. Diniz's fights have primarily been against lower-level competition, which raises questions about his ability to handle a fighter with Lane's experience and well-rounded approach. The level of competition Diniz has faced does not match the caliber of opponents that Lane has encountered, indicating a potential mismatch in terms of experience and skill diversity.

Lane's versatility allows him to excel in various aspects of MMA. His striking, while not as technically refined as some pure kickboxers, is powerful and effective. Additionally, his grappling skills and ground control are assets that can neutralize Diniz's striking advantage. Lane's ability to control the pace and dictate the terms of the fight could be a crucial factor in securing a victory against a less experienced opponent like Diniz.

Moreover, Lane's physical attributes, including his height, reach, and athleticism, provide him with additional advantages. These attributes allow him to maintain distance when needed, while also enabling him to close the gap and engage in close-range combat effectively. This versatility makes it difficult for opponents like Diniz to find a clear path to victory, especially if Lane can control the fight's tempo and location.

Given these factors, Austen Lane's overall MMA experience and well-rounded skill set, combined with Jhonata Diniz's relatively limited exposure to high-level competition, suggest that Lane is likely to emerge victorious. If Lane can utilize his experience, physical advantages, and versatility to control the fight, he has a clear path to victory, whether through striking, grappling, or a combination of both.


Jonathan Pearce vs David Onama

Prediction: David Onama via TKO

David Onama has demonstrated exceptional striking power, with the ability to end fights with a single punch or combination. His knockout victories showcase not only raw power but also a precision in his strikes that allows him to capitalize on openings. This striking ability is a critical advantage in any matchup, especially against opponents who tend to engage in close-range exchanges, like Pearce. Onama's striking accuracy could create significant challenges for Pearce's forward-moving style, as one well-placed strike could turn the tide of the fight.

Onama's latest performances indicate a shift in his approach to fights. In previous outings, he was often criticized for being overly aggressive and rushing for early knockouts, leading to vulnerabilities in his defense. However, his recent fights show a more calculated and patient approach, allowing him to avoid unnecessary risks and wait for the right moment to strike. This development not only showcases his maturity as a fighter but also suggests that he is less likely to fall into traps set by his opponents, including Pearce's wrestling and pressure game.

Jonathan Pearce's style revolves around high-paced aggression and relentless pressure, often backed by his wrestling skills. While this approach can wear down many opponents, it can also leave openings for precise counterstrikes. Pearce's tendency to push forward and engage in clinches could play into Onama's hands, creating opportunities for powerful counterpunches or well-timed strikes during transitions. Onama's ability to maintain composure and patience will be crucial in countering Pearce's aggression.

A potential advantage for Pearce is his cardio and endurance, as he often wears down opponents through sustained pressure and grappling exchanges. However, Onama's recent performances suggest improved conditioning, allowing him to maintain a steady pace throughout the fight without rushing. This endurance can mitigate Pearce's pressure and give Onama the energy to execute his game plan effectively over the course of the fight.

In this matchup, David Onama's knockout power, coupled with his newfound patience and improved defensive skills, could be the key factors that lead to victory. While Jonathan Pearce's aggressive style and wrestling skills pose a challenge, Onama's ability to stay calm under pressure and wait for the right moment to strike gives him the advantage. If Onama maintains his composure and takes advantage of openings created by Pearce's aggression, he has the potential to secure a knockout or decisive victory.


Tim Means vs Uros Medic

Prediction: Uroš Medič via TKO

Medic's style is characterized by his high pace and power, primarily utilizing his kickboxing background to dominate opponents on the feet. His ability to deliver significant strikes early in the fight has often overwhelmed his adversaries, setting the stage for early finishes.

Tim Means, on the other hand, is an experienced and versatile fighter whose skill set spans across various aspects of mixed martial arts. Known as "The Dirty Bird," Means is not only a competent striker but also adept at grappling and submissions. His well-rounded abilities allow him to adapt and respond to different fighting styles, making him a persistent threat throughout the bout. Means' experience and durability are key components of his game; if he withstands the initial onslaught, he often finds ways to turn the tide in his favor.

Analyzing their fighting styles, Medic's strategy will likely focus on leveraging his striking prowess to secure an early advantage. His aggressive approach aims to prevent Means from establishing any rhythm, using powerful kicks and punches to dictate the pace. Medic's strategy might revolve around a fast-paced, offensive onslaught to capitalize on his explosive power, targeting a quick finish before Means can fully engage his own game plan.

However, Means’ ability to absorb punishment and continue fighting effectively cannot be underestimated. His toughness and strategic acumen come into play particularly in the later rounds, where Medic’s initial burst might wane. If Means can navigate the early danger, his experience in handling diverse threats could turn the fight in his favor. The key for Means would be to endure the initial rounds, gradually imposing his own striking mixed with takedowns and ground control, potentially exploiting Medic's lesser-tested ground game.


Rani Yahhya vs Victor Henry

Prediction: Victor Henry via Decision

Yahya is renowned for his grappling expertise, particularly his Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu proficiency, which has seen him secure numerous submission victories throughout his career. His strategy typically involves taking his opponents to the ground, controlling them, and seeking a submission finish.

Victor Henry, however, presents a challenging opponent for Yahya due to his well-rounded skill set and particularly effective striking. Henry’s ability to maintain a high pace and deliver a significant volume of strikes could pose a serious problem for Yahya. Henry's striking isn't just about throwing punches and kicks; it's about keeping his opponents on the defensive and reducing their opportunities to initiate their game plan. This high-pressure approach could prevent Yahya from finding the openings he needs to bring the fight to the ground.

Additionally, Henry's experience in grappling shouldn't be overlooked, especially given his very active guard. This aspect of his ground game makes him a formidable opponent even on his back. If Yahya does manage to take the fight to the mat, Henry's active guard could serve as a key defensive mechanism, allowing him to fend off submission attempts and work towards getting back to his feet or even launching offensive moves from the ground.

Henry's cardio and ability to fight effectively across all rounds add another layer of difficulty for Yahya. If the fight extends into the later rounds, Yahya's typically energy-consuming grappling approach may diminish in effectiveness, especially against an opponent who doesn’t tire easily. This stamina factor could tilt the scales in Henry’s favor, allowing him to escalate his attack volume as the fight progresses.


Austin Hubbard vs Michal Figlak

Prediction: Toss Up (Lean Hubbard)

Both Hubbard and Figlak boast well-rounded MMA arsenals, demonstrating proficiency in striking, grappling, and in-fight adaptability, which allows them to remain competitive against a variety of opponents. Their similar fighting styles make this contest particularly intriguing as each looks to assert dominance in both the stand-up and ground game phases.

One of the critical factors that tilts the scale slightly in favor of Hubbard is his defensive capabilities. He has consistently shown an ability to manage distance and timing against aggressive opponents, which not only protects him from taking significant damage but also allows him to control the pace of the fight. His defensive acumen is integral to his approach, enabling him to absorb less punishment and remain fresher as rounds progress. This aspect of his game could prove crucial against Figlak, who is also known for his durability and forward pressure.

Hubbard’s ability to leverage his defense into offensive opportunities is another key element to consider. By effectively countering attacks and exploiting the openings created by his opponents' aggressiveness, Hubbard can transition smoothly from defense to attack. This ability to pivot within exchanges could provide him with the edge in scoring critical points or securing dominant positions that lead to fight-ending sequences. As the fight wears on, Hubbard’s strategic use of pacing can exhaust an opponent, leading to more pronounced advantages in the later rounds.


Don'Tale Mayes vs Caio Mochado

Prediction: Toss Up (Lean Caio Machado)

Caio Machado brings a set of skills that are often underrated, particularly his striking and speed. Machado’s agility and quicker hand speed allow him to outmaneuver slower opponents, scoring significant strikes that can accumulate damage over time. His proficiency in striking isn't just about power; it's also about the ability to land effectively and avoid counterattacks, making him a dangerous opponent in stand-up exchanges.

However, Machado's major drawback is his cardio, which has shown to be less than optimal in longer bouts. As the fight progresses, his energy levels can wane, reducing his ability to maintain the initial pace and effectiveness of his striking. This drop in performance as the fight goes on leaves him vulnerable to fighters like Mayes, who can capitalize on any sign of fatigue with his knockout power. If Machado fails to manage his energy efficiently or ends the fight early, he risks being overwhelmed by Mayes's power shots in the later rounds.

Given these dynamics, the bout between Mayes and Machado is a tough call. Machado’s speed and striking could dominate early or throughout if he manages his cardio well, while Mayes’s power remains a decisive factor that could tilt the fight in his favor with just one well-placed blow. Thus, the outcome hinges on Machado’s ability to control the pace and distance of the fight, and whether Mayes can catch Machado as his energy fades. This makes predicting the winner not just about analyzing skills, but also strategizing and adapting within the fight, contributing to the unpredictability of this matchup.


Ketlen Souza vs Marnic Mann

Prediction: Ketlen Souza via Decision

Souza's aggression comes through not just in her striking, but in her relentless pursuit and pressure, which can overwhelm opponents both physically and mentally. Her ability to push forward consistently, without giving her opponents room to breathe or set up their own attacks, disrupts their rhythm and opens up opportunities for her to land significant strikes or initiate takedowns. This constant pressure is likely to be a key factor in her strategy against Mann.

Marnic Mann, while a competent fighter with a solid ground game, will likely look to bring the fight to the mat where she can use her grappling to control Souza. Mann’s best chance for victory lies in her ability to establish ground control or pin Souza against the cage, areas where she can maximize her grappling skills. However, executing this plan will be challenging given Souza's proficiency in both striking defense and her ability to maneuver out of tight spots, making it difficult for Mann to maintain any control she might gain.

Ultimately, the matchup is likely to favor Ketlen Souza due to her aggressive style and well-rounded capabilities in all aspects of MMA. Her ability to maintain high pressure and disrupt Mann's strategy will be crucial. As Mann struggles to implement her ground-focused game plan, Souza's continuous forward movement and versatile attack will likely lead her to a decisive victory, exploiting Mann’s inability to control the pace and direction of the fight.


James Llontop vs Gabe Green

Prediction: James Lliontop via Late Tko or Decision

James Llontop's superior cardio is a significant advantage in this matchup, a direct benefit of his training at elevation. This high-altitude preparation ensures that he can maintain a high and consistent pace throughout the fight, a critical factor in outlasting opponents who may fade in later rounds. Llontop's ability to sustain energy and output can pressure opponents into making mistakes or physically breaking down as the fight progresses, which is particularly effective against fighters who may not match his conditioning.

Another key aspect of Llontop’s strategy is his use of sneaky strikes, especially his lead elbows. These strikes are not only damaging but also unpredictable, making them difficult for opponents to anticipate and defend against. His adeptness at integrating these strikes into combinations can catch opponents off-guard, leading to significant damage or creating openings for more complex attack sequences. This unpredictability in striking is a powerful tool in Llontop's arsenal.

Gabe Green, on the other hand, is known for his resilience and aggressive striking. He brings a toughness and forward pressure that can overwhelm many fighters. However, Green’s tendency to keep his head on the center line makes him vulnerable to counterattacks, especially against a fighter like Llontop who excels in throwing unexpected strikes. This positioning flaw in Green's defense could be particularly costly, as it lines him up for the exact type of strikes—like Llontop's lead elbows—that can abruptly shift the momentum of the fight.

In summary, while Gabe Green possesses the aggressiveness and durability to pose a real challenge, James Llontop’s advantages in cardio, strategic striking, and pace are likely to dominate their encounter. Llontop's ability to maintain a steady, high output coupled with his effective use of unique strikes gives him the tools to exploit Green’s defensive weaknesses. Expect Llontop to leverage his cardio and striking creativity to secure a victory, capitalizing on Green’s predictability and defensive lapses as the fight wears on.


Ivana Petrovic vs Liang Na

Prediction: Ivana Petrovic via Decision

Firstly, Petrović's physical attributes give her a significant edge in grappling scenarios. As the bigger and stronger fighter, she has the ability to control opponents on the ground and leverage her size to maintain dominant positions. This advantage is critical in grappling-heavy bouts, where strength and size can be directly translated into control and the ability to execute submission attempts. Petrović's past performances have shown her adeptness at using her physicality to wear down her opponents, a tactic that will be key against Liang Na.

Liang Na, while a skilled grappler in her own right, does not quite match up to Petrović's physical prowess. Na's grappling style is more reliant on agility and technique; however, against a significantly stronger opponent like Petrović, these attributes might not be sufficient to maintain control during the fight. Petrović's ability to apply constant pressure and her proficiency in securing and advancing positions could see Na struggling to implement her usual game plan.

By honing her ability to quickly transition between positions and prioritize control over mere point-scoring, Petrović can capitalize on any mistakes Na makes under pressure. This approach not only increases Petrović’s chances of finding a submission but also minimizes Na's opportunities to leverage her speed and technique.

In summary, Ivana Petrović's superior size and strength make her the favorite in this grappling-centric bout against Liang Na. Her ability to control the pace and positioning in the fight will likely overwhelm Na, leading to opportunities for submissions or a decision victory based on effective grappling control.


Maheshate vs Gabriel Benitez

Prediction: Maheshate via TKO

Both fighters have shown tendencies to occasionally disregard their defensive duties in the stand-up, setting the stage for a thrilling slugfest. This approach by both competitors suggests that the fight will likely be decided by striking power and the ability to absorb and deliver significant shots.

Maheshate, known for his formidable knockout power, seems to hold a distinct advantage in this type of matchup. His striking is not only powerful but also precise, which is crucial in a fight where defense might take a backseat. His ability to land devastating blows could be the key difference-maker, especially against an opponent like Benitez, who, while experienced and dangerous, has been vulnerable to powerful strikers in the past.

Benitez, on his part, brings a wealth of experience and a robust striking game that includes sharp kicks and crisp combinations. However, his aggressive style often leads him to leave openings that can be exploited by a counter-striker with heavy hands like Maheshate. In fights where both athletes are prone to trading blows without much regard for defense, the one with the more impactful power and chin generally comes out on top.

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